德国外贸协会预计德今年出口额年比将增长6%
German Exports Set to Continue to Expand This Year

  German exports are expected to remain the primary engine of growth in the eurozone’s biggest economy this year when they are scheduled to grow by around six percent, the BGA wholesale and export federation predicted.

  The federation said it expected Germany to export about 777.5 billion euros’ (one trillion dollars’) worth of goods in 2005, a rise of six percent from 2004 levels.

  The forecast was made "on the condition that the dollar does not find itself on a new downward spiral again soon", BGA added on Tuesday.

  In 2004, Germany held on to its title of the world’s champion exporter by exporting goods worth a total 731 billion euros and running up a trade surplus of 155.6 billion euros.

  This year, the trade surplus was expected to grow to 171.2 billion euros, BGA predicted.

  Exports were expected to grow particularly strongly to Russia, China and central and eastern Europe.

  BGA said it based its forecasts on the assumption that the global economy would grow by six percent and the German economy by one percent.

  "Without exports as the main driving force, Germany would be on the brink of a recession. We’re not managing to revitalise domestic demand," BGA president Anton Boerner said.

  德国外贸协会预计,德2005年出口额将比上年增长约6%,这使得德国出口额将继续位居欧洲之首。

  据法新社3月8日报道,德国外贸协会预计该国在今年的出口额将达到7775亿欧元,比上年增加6%。该协会同时表示,这种预期是建立在美元短期内不会再次下跌这一假设基础之上的。

  2004年德国出口总额为7310亿欧元居世界首位,并出现了1556亿欧元的贸易顺差。德国外贸协会预计,今年的贸易顺差将达到1712亿欧元。

  2005年,德国对中国、俄罗斯及中、东欧国家的出口将分别增长15%、20%和10%。该协会指出,这种预期是建立在世界经济将增长6%、德国经济增长1%这一假设基础上之上的。

  德国外贸协会主席安东·博尔纳指出:“出口已成为德国经济增长的推动力。如果没有对外出口的拉动,德国经济很可能处于不景气的边缘。”